Archive for the 'American League Rumours' Category

Brett Lawrie – Blue Jays New Second Basemen?

Coming to a theatre near you Brett Lawrie starting second basemen for your Toronto Blue Jays?

Currently on a minor league rehab assignment for a rib cage strain our incumbent third basemen Brett Lawrie is taking his reps at second base with the intent of joining the big league club at the position.  Alex Anthopoulos stated that if Lawrie looks good at second then when he returns to the bigs Jose Bautista will remain at third base and Lawrie will take over at the keystone corner.

While we still aren’t sure what type of batter Brett Lawrie will be with more than 1400 careers innings at third base in the major league one thing we are fairly certain – Lawrie plays a mean hot corner.  A career 9.4 UZR in 1452.1 innings at third base is impressive especially considering he essentially began his time at third base position at the major league level.

While I love the idea of Brett Lawrie playing second base for the good of the team (and lineup) I doubt this will be a longer term fix.  Coming through the ranks not many scouts questioned the offensive abilities of Lawrie but sticking at second base was seemingly a pipe dream.

Here are a few observations and scouting reports when Lawrie was still in the Milwaukee Brewers farm system:

According to John Manuel of Baseball America, many scouts compare him to Marlins second baseman Dan Uggla.  Convinced he would hit as a pro, one scout said “real thing to remember is that Lawrie’s best position is in the batter’s box—a lot like Uggla.”  Some scouts also see him as a Jeff Kent type without the defense.

Lawrie spent last season in AA at only 19 years of age.  By midseason he led the Southern League in hits (102), extra-base hits (39), triples (11) and total bases (164).  Lawrie’s biggest weakness is his defense and scouts have noted that his throwing arm has regressed; projecting him as an outfielder should he prove to be liability in the infield.  He led all second basemen in errors, with one badly misplayed ball ending up breaking his nose.

Keith Law said in 2010:

Lawrie hit well in the Midwest League for a 19-year-old, and if he had a clear position he might have spent the second half in high-A. The Brewers did move him up two levels in mid-August, after which he scuffled. Lawrie has a good swing, almost a classic left-handed swing but from the right side, with tremendous rotation and raw power. I’ve seen him over stride in BP, but he quiets down a little in games, still taking all-out swings but with such a good swing path that he covers the plate and struggles only with changing speeds. He’s an intense, aggressive, “one-speed” player who might benefit from dialing it down a notch every now and then, and the lack of finesse in his game is part of what holds him back as an infielder. He played all over as an amateur but settled on second in part because he thought he had a faster path to the majors there. There’s still a realistic chance he’ll have to move to first or an outfield corner, limiting his projected value.

I don’t think he’ll ever be above-average defensively at second, and he’s pretty maxed-out physically, but his bat looks like it’s going to play just about anywhere in the big leagues, and his offensive downside is very limited.

Another downside could be the already fragile Brett Lawrie would be moving to a much more physically demanding position.  Second basemen have to range much further to both sides, regularly laying out to make plays and being on the receiving end of hard slides at the bag on double-play opportunities.

This has to be one concern for the Blue Jays brass, and perhaps a major one.  Can this team really deal with another injury considering its already fragile psyche (and fan base)?  Lawrie has proven himself to be very capable (if not spectacular) fielding third basemen but is there any guarantee he can even play second effectively at the big league level?

The Blue Jays need his bat to be productive above almost anything else.  I worry that his offensive development could be jeopardized if he struggles with the transition to a brand new (and more demanding) position.  Again this might only be a temporary solution, and a sensible one considering our injury situation but trying Brett Lawrie at second base is far from a sure thing.

However given his impressive athleticism and tireless work ethic if anybody could make a concerted effort at this transition it is probably the crazy Canadian Brett Lawrie.  It’s obviously worth a shot at this point.

 

Blue Jays Offseason Update – January 27, 2013

It is bitterly cold in Southwestern Ontario but the thought of pitchers and catchers reporting in less than twenty days is certainly helping.  Sorry for the lack of activity lately but it’s been pretty slow in the world of the Blue Jays and baseball in general.  Getting ready for the season though and we will be back up to full strength and posting frequently again! 

Be on the lookout for the 2013 Top 15 Blue Jays prospect piece!!

Here are some updates:

-The Blue Jays avoided arbitration with center fielder Colby Rasmus, agreeing to a one-year, $4.675MM deal, MLB.com’s Gregor Chisholm reports (on Twitter). 

QUICK TAKE: This is probably the last stand for Rasmus as a Blue Jay.  I am not overly optimistic that he will ever reach the lofty predictions of success when he first entered the league but he comes at a reasonable price.  If he slips or struggles the team has youngster Anthony Gose waiting in the wings.

-The Blue Jays announced that they signed infielder Mark DeRosa to a one-year, $750K contract for 2013. The deal with the CSE client includes a $750K club option for 2014.

Blue Jays GM Alex Anthopoulos has said he’d like to add a versatile right-handed hitting player to round out the club’s active roster. DeRosa, who turns 38 next month, bats from the right side and has experience at a variety of positions.

QUICK TAKE: I like this signing.  Our bench was almost useless last season and we wasted hundreds of ABs on less than stellar options.  This low cost move made sense.

-Jon Paul Morosi of FOX Sports examined the six worst teams in the American League in 2012 and looked at what steps they’ve taken to improve in the New Year.  The Blue Jays have obviously done a great deal to reverse their fortunes, but Morosi does have some concern about how the stars will mesh with one another.

QUICK TAKE: Again, it’s a long offseason and I guess this is something to write about.  I think the whole ‘chemistry’ thing in baseball is extremely overrated.  The Blue Jays aren’t guaranteed success because that is the nature of baseball but it won’t be due to chemistry, it will have to do with performance or bad luck statistically.

-The Blue Jays announced that they avoided arbitration with Emilio Bonifacio by agreeing to a one-year, $2.6MM deal. The Blue Jays also announced that they avoided arbitration with J.A. Happ, agreeing to a one-year, $3.7MM deal for 2013.

-Anthopoulos hopes the rotation provides enough innings that the team doesn’t need to seriously consider an eight-man bullpen. The Blue Jays have a pretty full bullpen, so it doesn’t appear as though free agent right-hander Brandon Lyon will return. “I don’t want to ever close the door on him, since he did a great job for us,” Anthopoulos said.

The GM stressed the importance of starting pitching depth and explained that players such as Justin Germano, Brad Lincoln and J.A. Happ provide the club with options.

-Good news on the bullpen front as Darren Oliver is returning for the upcoming season.  The left handed specialist had a superb season and adds further depth to what is shaping up to be a stellar bullpen.  Oliver posted a 2.06 ERA with 8.3 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 56 2/3 innings this past season.  Despite his advanced age, Oliver has made more than 60 relief appearances in each of the past four seasons.

-The Blue Jays signed 18-year-old right-hander Denis Villatoro to a five-year contract, Saúl Carranza of the Honduran newspaper Diez reported over the weekend (translation via MLBTR’s Nick Collias). It’s a five-year deal, according to La Tribuna. Bob Elliott of the Toronto Sun notes that it’s worth $20K (Twitter link). Villatoro, who worked out for the Blue Jays before signing, said he’s “very happy” to have agreed to terms with Toronto, Carranza reports. His fastball reaches 93 mph, and he also drew interest from the Orioles, Yankees, Mets, Astros, Giants and Pirates.

 

Blue Jays Possibly Paying Steep Price for Dickey

The actual deal won’t be released or finalized until at least Sunday but the current rumours have the Toronto Blue Jays trading top prospects Travis d’Arnaud and Noah Syndergaard along with veteran backstop John Buck and another prospect to the New York Mets for reigning 2012 Cy Young winner R.A. Dickey, catcher Josh Thole and another prospect.

Overrating prospects is easy to do, especially ones you follow from draft day but at first glance this looks awfully steep.  We are potentially giving up a lot of controllable years on two of our top prospects.  We have plenty of interesting arms to replace Noah Syndergaard but losing Travis d’Arnaud would be especially tough given the lack of offensive prospects close to being major league ready. 

My first thought was Dickey makes our team markedly better for the next two to three seasons and right now isn’t that all that really matters?  Perhaps Alex Anthopoulos is actually selling high on TDA and Syndergaard but a part of me is nervous about this trade. 

Again we are adding a Cy Young award winner in R.A. Dickey who has been an extremely underrated pitcher over the past three years.  Teams look to contend will routinely trade away their best prospects and this is no different.  Maybe I am just unaccustomed to seeing a team from Toronto actually trying to make a splash.

R.A. Dickey is a damn good pitcher and don’t dare call him a one year wonder as that is way off base.

Here is what Dave Cameron of Fangraphs recently wrote:

Apparently, there’s this idea that pre-2012 R.A. Dickey was a worthless nothing, and after his fluke season, he’s headed right back to being a trick pitch sideshow. That idea is just hilariously wrong.

61 pitchers threw at least 350 innings between 2010 and 2011. During those two years, Dickey posted an ERA- of 81, meaning that he prevented runs at a rate 19 percent better than the league average. We’re using ERA- for Dickey because knuckleballers have a long exhibited history of being an exception to FIP, by the way. That put him squarely between Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum, and ahead of guys like Hiroki Kuroda, Dan Haren, Chris Carpenter, and Mat Latos. Not bad company.

If I had to guess at what Alex Anthopoulos was thinking (is that even allowed?) or what his strategy was it would have to be R.A. Dickey wasn’t necessarily the only pitcher targeted he just happened to be the best one available right now.  Free agent hurler Edwin Jackson is probably looking for an arm and a leg or has already informed the Blue Jays he wouldn’t sign here. 

When the top guns of the Blue Jays farm system became available I wouldn’t doubt that AA was contacted by different teams offering various arms but with most of the best young arms off the market (Mat Latos, Gio Gonzalez) and other options too risky (Matt Garza) or divisional rivals (David Price) this R.A. Dickey thing just made the most sense.

I am just struggling with the fact that we essentially just traded our two best prospects for a 38-year old pitcher, albeit a very effective one.  This is certainly an “all-in” moment for the Blue Jays front office as our farm system has been stripped to the bones.  On the other hand our current regime has consistently shown the ability to build and restock the minor league ranks.

Check back when this deal is actually finalized one way or another.  I know some Blue Jays fans actually hope this deal falls apart.  This does feel very UN-Alex Anthopoulos given the way it has played out in the media and it feels very Yu Darvish like. 

Stay tuned.  John Farrell couldn’t be contacted for comment.

Blue Jays On Verge of Landing R.A. Dickey?

According to various reports it appears the Toronto Blue Jays are in advanced talks with the New York Mets about 2012 NL Cy Young award winner R.A. Dickey. 

According to MLBTR:

All signs point to the Mets trading R.A. Dickey, Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports reports (on Twitter). The sides aren’t progressing toward an extension, and Dickey’s one-year, $5MM salary seems quite appealing to teams seeking pitching. Here are today’s Dickey rumors, with the most recent items up top…

  • The Mets may be landing d’Arnaud in the deal, Heyman tweets.
  • Travis d’Arnaud was a “must have” during the winter meetings for a deal with the Blue Jays to happen, sources tell Andy Martino of the Daily News (via Twitter).
  • Two sources involved in the talks say not to expect any resolution with Dickey tonight, tweets Anthony DiComo of MLB.com.

There was a lot of talk after the winter meetings finished that the two sides had discussed different scenerios in which RA Dickey would head to Toronto but it has seemingly become a lot closer to being finalized.  I would have to assume that if the Blue Jays are pondering moving our top prospect (two years running) in catcher Travis d’Arnaud that the deal would possibly bring back more than just R.A. Dickey.

Would I like to add another starter?  Absolutely.  Would I mind adding R.A. Dickey?  Not at all.  Would I like to see the Blue Jays depleted system take another serious hit for one 38-year old knuckleballer?  Absolutely not.  Let’s reserve judgment until if and when this deal might come to fruition.

Besides, isn’t the very fact we are even discussing this mean there is no chance Alex Anthopoulos is actually going to pull it off?

What are your thoughts?

Tampa Bay Deals Away James Shields & Wade Davis

In huge news for the AL East the “on paper” favourite for the division title has weakened there rotation but picked up one heck of a prospect, as per MLB trade rumours:

The Royals have bolstered their starting rotation for 2013 thanks to the addition of two quality pitchers. Kansas City has agreed to acquire James Shields and Wade Davis from Tampa Bay in exchange for Wil Myers and a series of prospects, reports Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times (via Twitter). The deal may not be complete as additional players could end up in the final exchange between the two teams, suggests Jerry Crasnick of ESPN.com (Twitter link).

Big loss to the rotation for the 2013 season with the loss of James Shields, which is all that Blue Jays nation cares about at this time but Wil Myers has the chance to be a game changer in the outfield.  He is coming off one of the better minor league seasons in 2012 cracking 37 HRs and slashing 314/387/600. 

Stay tuned for the full details of the trade as they are released.

UPDATE: 11:23pm – Tampa Bay trades James Shields and Wade Davis to Kansas City for Wil Myers, Jake Odorizzi, Mike Montgomery and Patrick Leonard.

Honestly, this is quite a haul for Tampa Bay and this could look very lopsided in 2-3 years.  Some respected pundits are already calling this an idiotic trade for Kansas City (Rob Neyer for one).  This was probably a tad too much to give up for one starting pitcher and the price of poker (for any other half decent starter) definitely just went up.

Ken Rosenthal Poses Hypothetical RA Dickey Blue Jays Trade Offer

The New York Mets have not yet resigned veteran knuckleball pitcher R.A. Dickey to a contract extension and there have been rumors that the Toronto Blue Jays are interested in acquiring the 2012 NL Cy Young award winner.  Ken Rosenthal wrote a piece today and came up with a hypothetical trade offer between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays.

The Mets are far apart on a two-year extension with Dickey, major league sources say. And teams interested in trading for Dickey say the Mets’ asking price is high.

Obviously, the Mets would have moved Dickey by now if they had received a suitable offer. But Dickey’s trade value is indeed subject to debate.

“Hard guy to evaluate,” one rival GM said Saturday.

Dickey is 38. He throws a knuckleball, which many baseball officials dismiss as a “trick pitch.” And while his salary in 2013 is an absurdly modest $5 million, he is eligible for free agency at the end of the season.

So, what is his true value in a trade?

What does Rosenthal feel the offer could look like?

Possibility No. 2: Dickey for Blue Jays catcher J.P. Arencibia and center fielder Anthony Gose.

The Jays definitely would say “no” to this. They would be trading a combined 10 years of control over Arencibia and Gose — both of whom play premium up-the-middle positions — for one year of Dickey.

Arencibia, the veteran in the package, still is a year away from arbitration, and under club control through ’16. Travis D’Arnaud, a top prospect, eventually will surpass him. But catcher is another position of scarcity — and rising salaries — increasing Arencibia’s value.

Here, perhaps, is a better idea: Dickey for Arencibia, straight up. The Jays obviously are trying to win; otherwise, they would not have made their blockbuster with the Marlins. And while Arencibia has averaged 21.5 homers the past two seasons, his career on-base percentage, in nearly 900 plate appearances, is .275.

Any takers?

American League Rumours – December 3, 2012

Here is a look at some of the American League notable headlines as per MLBTR:

-The biggest news pertaining to the Toronto Blue Jays was made by the rival Boston Red Sox today:

They have become the first team to make a major splash at the 2012 Winter Meetings, reaching an agreement on a three-year contract with Mike Napoli. The deal is for three years and $39MM, with the Red Sox choosing to pay the Brian Grieper client a higher annual salary rather than tacking on a fourth year.  Napoli’s money is spread evenly at $13MM per year, notes Sean McAdam of CSNNE.com.

Napoli had a down year by his standards for the Rangers in 2012, hitting .227/.343/.469. However, he has a career .863 OPS, and is one season removed from a .320/.414/.631 line. While Boston likely doesn’t expect him to produce at that level again, the team will make him its primary first base option, according to Bradford. Cafardo tweets that the 31-year-old will also catch occasionally for the Sox.

-No word whether or not the Toronto Blue Jays have had any serious talks about New York Mets SP R.A. Dickey but if this report (and asking price) is true, there is no chance Alex Anthopoulos is in on him.  A report out of Boston had the Mets asking forXander Bogaerts and Jackie Bradley Jr in return for the 38-year old  knuckleballer.  I have my doubts that this was ever offered but if this is any indication of the price for him, it is extremely steep.

-Speaking of the Toronto Blue Jays they have claimed catcher Eli Whiteside from the New York Yankees.  Cue the ever popular JP Arencibia trade rumours!

-The Yankees have shown interest in free agent outfielder Cody Ross and requested his medical information earlier this week, writes WEEI’s Rob Bradford.

Ross, 31, hit .267/.326/.481 in 528 plate appearances for the Red Sox this year and is in line for the first multiyear deal of his career.

-The Royals are “sending out signals” that they have the money and the motivation to pursue a pitcher who could be considered a No. 1, reports Danny Knobler of CBS Sports. A run at Anibal Sanchez isn’t out of the question for Kansas City, according to Knobler.

-Tigers people continue to say the team isn’t even considering Rafael Soriano, tweets Joel Sherman of the New York Post. However, Sherman notes that owner Mike Ilitch’s great relationship with Scott Boras still makes Detroit a wild card in the Soriano sweepstakes.

-It appears the Los Angeles Dodgers are in hot pursuit of the top free agent pitcher Zack Greinke.

-Roberto Hernandez (the former Fausto Carmona) seeks a one-year deal and has drawn interest from at least five teams including the Indians, reports MLB.com’s Jesse Sanchez.  The righty missed most of the 2012 season due to charges of using a false name and difficulty obtaining a visa.

AL East Rumour Roundup – November 27, 2012

Here are a few odds and ends from around the American League East, as per MLB trade rumours:

-MLB executives see Zack Greinke obtaining a deal of at least six years for as much as $25MM per season, Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com reports. It’s possible the free agent right-hander will obtain a deal worth $150MM and establish a new record for right-handed pitchers. Matt Cain’s deal, worth a total of $127.5MM for six years, now represents the largest contract obtained by a right-hander, and C.C. Sabathia’s seven-year, $161MM contract represents the largest deal ever obtained by a pitcher.
 
QUICK TAKE: It appears the Boston Red Sox are not serious bidders and it will possibly come down to the Los Angeles teams bidding on him.  We haven’t heard a single Blue Jays rumour with respect to signing Greinke… Hmm… Just saying.
 
-MLB officials don’t have a clear sense of where Josh Hamilton will sign, ESPN.com’s Buster Olney writes. Hamilton, who is said to be looking for Prince Fielder money, could end up with the Brewers, Rangers, Red Sox, Mariners or Orioles in the view of Olney’s sources.
 
QUICK TAKE: It would be nice if Josh Hamilton headed to the National League in terms of Blue Jays implications.
 
-The Rays have done it again. For the second time in four years, they’ve signed Evan Longoria to a surprising long-term contract extension that will keep the third baseman in Tampa Bay for the foreseeable future. The Rays announced that they extended Longoria for an additional six seasons by guaranteeing three club options on his previous deal and adding $100MM in new money to the contract. Longoria will now earn $136MM from 2013-22 under his contract, which includes a club option for 2023. 
 
-A Major League source confirmed to WEEI’s Rob Bradford that the two teams have indeed discusseda trade that would center around Lester and Myers. According to Bradford, the talks also included the possibility of Boston sending outfield help to Kansas City with some pitching heading back to the Red Sox. He echoes that nothing is close.
 
QUICK TAKE: Are the Royals crazy?  Trading one of the top prospects in the game for Jon Lester?  A pitcher who is clearly on the decline.  This must be coming from the Red Sox media because this makes no sense for Kansas City at this point in their development plan.
 
-The Yankees are confident they can re-sign Ichiro Suzuki, Heyman reports. The Yankees expect to reach a deal with the free agent outfielder, who has said he hopes to return to New York.

-The Red Sox, Braves and Giants appear to be looking at Nick Swisher, Heyman reports. The market for Swisher seems strong enough for him to obtain a deal of at least four years and executives see the outfielder signing for $12-14MM per season. The Red Sox like Swisher’s versatility since they have openings at first base and in the outfield. Meanwhile, the Braves and Giants are also looking for corner outfield help.

-New York Yankees are expected to re-sign Canadian backstop Russell Martin.
 
 

Blue Jays Should Sign Lance Berkman

MLB trade rumours reports:

The Rays, Astros, Phillies and Red Sox are all in “tire-kicking” mode on Lance Berkman, tweets Joseph Duarte of the Houston Chronicle (hat tip: Alex Speier of WEEI.com).

Until this point, the Astros are the only team that has been largely connected to Berkman this offseason. Astros owner Jim Crane had a “get-acquainted” meeting with Berkman recently, and Big Puma expressed interest in returning to Houston where his career began. In that interview, Berkman said he wanted to be paid like a Major League three-hole hitter, though he’d take a bit of a discount for the Astros.

The Phillies presumably have visions of Berkman seeing some time on the field as a first baseman or outfielder. The same could be said for the Red Sox, who recently re-signed David Ortiz to a two-year contract. The Rays and Astros could both elect to use Berkman as their primary DH, with no concrete incumbent in place for either organization.

Berkman hit .259/.381/.444 in 97 plate appearances for the Cardinals in 2012 but was hobbled by a pair of knee surgeries. He’s a career .296/.409/.544 hitter with 360 homers between the Astros, Yankees and Cardinals.

Yes he’s a bit older and there has been zero indication that Berkman would be interested in heading to Toronto but if I were Alex Anthopoulos I’d be intrigued at the possibility of adding a professional hitter like Lance Berkman.  A switch hitter who would slot perfectly into the DH role currently held by Adam Lind (or Edwin Encarnacion).

He could still play a bit of firstbase and he has proven he can still be productive when healthy.  In 2011 he slashed 301/412/547 with 31 HRs in 587 PAs.  In 2012 he was injured for the majority of the season but still slashed a respectable 259/381/444.

Berkman has patience, can hit for power and again if healthy would add some serious depth to what is already shaping up to be a very solid batting lineup.  If he’s available and wouldn’t mind a one-year deal at a reasonable number he could make the Blue Jays lineup deadly.

If Justin Upton Is Moved, It Won’t Be to Blue Jays

As per MLB trade rumours:

There is a 90% chance Justin Upton, one of the most prized trade targets this offseason, will still be with Arizona when Spring Training opens, a Diamondbacks person tells Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com. GM Kevin Towers, however, is still willing to listen to offers for the two-time All-Star.

Kevin is Kevin. I think there is no one on the roster Kevin wouldn’t have a discussion about, if asked,” said Diamondbacks owner Ken Kendrick. “I think there’s a very high likelihood Justin will be in our starting outfield when we start the new season.

The Diamondbacks are looking for a young shortstop and pitching in any trade for Upton.  Sources tells Heyman the four-team list, which has changed after every season, now includes the Mariners and Blue Jays, although it is believed Upton could be open to a trade to a team on his no-trade list.
 
With Melky Cabrera recently signed to play left field and Colby Rasmus and Jose Bautista already in the Blue Jays outfield it was a long shot that the Blue Jays were big players in the Justin Upton sweepstakes.  Never say never but given the above information I wouldn’t count on Upton joining Toronto.
 
 

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