The Blue Jays just dropped another series to an AL East rival and there record now stands at 10-19. They sit 10.5 full games out of first place and while nobody is suggesting a division title is won in April I think it’s time to acknowledge that they can at the very least be lost with such a disastrous month.
Perhaps 2013 is just not destined to be our season even we all still #lovethisteam.
If things continue this way and we are well out of the playoff hunt before Jose Reyes returns I wouldn’t be surprised (or disappointed) if the Blue Jays were sellers. If they were to move some pieces to either shed payroll or pick up an interesting prospect or two they would likely have some suitors.
-Josh Johnson needs to show he is healthy if any team were to give up any blue chip prospects. He also needs to show the looming free agent market that he can throw a full season worth of innings. If he comes back to his career levels he makes a solid #3 starter and I am sure the team could land one pretty intriguing prospect.
2013 ZIPS (rest of season projection) 126.0 IPs, 123 hits, 40 BB – 105 K, 3.79 ERA, 3.59 FIP.
-Melky Cabrera hasn’t shown he is the same hitter without PEDs. This is just a fact. The numbers pre and post the steroid allegations show a completely different player. I thought he would be more athletic than he is but his play in the left field and on the base paths leave much to be desired. I think Anthony Gose could play to his level, at least, as well as play high caliber major league defense. In short, no big loss.
2013 ZIPS (ROS) 551 PAs, 289/335/437, 6.5 BB%, 13.4 K%, 27 2B, 12 HR.
These projections are slanted, plain and simple. They heavily weight his PED infused 2011/2012 seasons. I think he would be hard pressed to come anywhere near the projected SLG%.
-Mark Buehrle is exactly who I thought he was coming into this season. A pitch to contact lefty who’s stuff doesn’t play as well in the AL East. He can give the Jays 200 innings and a low to mid 5.00 ERA – I don’t see much in the way of improvement at this stage of his career. He simply gives up too many hits and in a league that can wait out a pitchers best stuff Buehrle is at times a sitting duck. If Ricky Romero returns to form I don’t see how he couldn’t outperform him. This should almost be a priority win or lose as Buehrle is overrated and vastly overpaid for a fifth starter.
2013 ZIPS (ROS) 145.0 IPs, 163 hits, 30 BB – 80 K, 4.53 ERA, 4.44 FIP.
-Darren Oliver could be a solid addition for a team looking for a veteran LOOGY. He would need to improve upon his lacklustre numbers to start this season but if he does, we could likely fetch a ‘C+’ level prospect.
There is no need to completely wipe out the roster and I don’t see any reason to move Jose Reyes, Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, R.A. Dickey, Brett Lawrie and a few of our top bullpen arms unless the deal was just insanely in our favour – think Jurickson Profar insane.
The players listed above could be replaced if Rogers continues to show a willingness to spend money and trades are always an option for the Blue Jays brass. However at this time I wouldn’t doubt Alex Anthopoulos is a tad gun shy as none of his recent highly touted moves have paid any dividends yet. Luckily Travis d’Arnaud took a ball off his foot and won’t be getting called up anytime soon (thanks Wes).
OTHER BLUE JAYS LINKS:
Blue Jays Stats Pack – April 2013 – Hitters (how much do the Jays miss Jose Reyes?)